Beryl close to hurricane strength as it nears Georgia, Florida.

http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/27/us/tr ... ?hpt=hp_t2

No wonder houses go so cheap up there .

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For the armchair meteorologist...

Is it Sahara Dust that is coating my car since Friday no matter how much I wash it?

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-avn.html

er HOOK, anything we should be concerned about here? looks like a nice path to Trinidad if it Doesnt break up

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3 Men conspire together to DEFRAUD, what happens when 1 is disgrundled? Awaits a Birdie to sing and his blatter to burst......................

^ even if it does develop, it is already moving north and away from us

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3NE•2NR

Yes.

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Miami predicting a moderate season but I think that they will be wrong again.

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

hold on, hold on...

As a geologist, you're purporting to know the accuracy of the NHC 2012 AHS Outlook when you can't ascertain whether or not the behaviour of the SDL is what has your car looking like that?

thisistopnotchresearch.bmp

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Well I still waiting on the lab results for the dust I collect on my wipers, until then I am open to suggestions.

Besides, NHC got it wrong in 2006.

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

u talking "mild" in terms of frequency or intensities?

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frequency

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

look up Kerr's Outlook...local ting

TTMS is avoiding linking tho, but look it up...interesting comparison between the average, Gray's Outlook and Kerr's

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fack alluh the ole boi that does buy rum from me when he get he pension tell me that this wet season is wetting after wetting we getting.
ole boi in run shop> geologist> meteorologist

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Everyone lies, but its ok because no one listens

OGOAAAAARRR Weatherbanton!!! The technical terms man!

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nice easterly actvity....

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[sms]
[img:91:43]http://home.alltel.net/tubbie/images/tubsupra.gif[/img]

Hurricane prediction team raises forecast
By Jim Waymer, Florida Today

On the first official day of the Atlantic hurricane season, a Colorado State University forecast team added new storms to its forecast, but members still expect slightly below-average storm activity because of an unusual cooling of the tropical Atlantic.
The team Friday called for 13 named storms, up from its April prediction of 10, during the 2012 Atlantic season. That includes the two named storms, Alberto and Beryl, that formed before June 1.
Five of those 13 are expected to reach hurricane strength, one more than originally expected. Two of those are expected to become major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater, a prediction that remained the same as in April.
The team tries for best estimates of storm activity, not an exact measure of storms, members say. They made their June 1 forecast based on a new system that relies on 29 years of historical data.
"We have increased our numbers slightly from our early April forecast, due largely to our uncertainty as to whether an El Nino will develop later this summer as well as somewhat marginal Atlantic basin conditions," Phil Klotzbach, lead author of the forecasts said in a release.
The team's founder, William Gray, said pre-June-1 tropical cyclone activity historically has little bearing on the rest of the hurricane season.
"The only two seasons on record with two named storms prior to June 1 were 1887 and 1908," Gray said. "While 1887 was a very active season, 1908 had average levels of activity. The last season with a U.S. landfall prior to June 1 was 1976, which was a relatively quiet season."
People still should prepare, the Colorado State team said. They accurately predicted a quiet storm season in 1992. But the one major hurricane that formed was Hurricane Andrew, which devastated South Florida.
Climate conditions are aligning similar to the way they did in the 1953, 1968, 2001 and 2009 hurricane seasons, the Colorado State team said.
"We anticipate that the 2012 hurricane season will have slightly more activity than what was experienced in the average of these four years, due to the slightly more active season predicted by our statistical model," Klotzbach said.
The team will issue a final hurricane season forecast update Aug. 3. In an average year, about 85 percent of named storm activity and 95 percent of major hurricane activity happens after Aug. 1 when ocean waters have warmed from summer heat in the Northern Hemisphere.

http://www.usatoday.com/weather/hurrica ... 55333722/1




I guess I was right

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

Lord hope we don't get hit .

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Tropical Wave just off our east coast should bring some rain

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3NE•2NR

Look closely that has already swung north and passed us!

No wonder up Maracas / Toco got some much rain .

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yup, hearing thunder from this in Chaguanas right now

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3NE•2NR

it start inna pos

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California place dark out dread .

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this!!
rhel traffic later....

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I aint talking fast, u just listening slow..

dashments of water fall from above in the gustine

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hadda ride clutch over lyr... chups

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basically done in the North Central

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Habit7, but not just Habit7

man say he was right oui

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