The official tropical weather thread 2017

[bluefete]

Besides that im concerned that i did not get enough snacks to last a long evening indoors.

[Dragular]

flooding right now in POS as usual!

[bluefete]

Click animate to see the satellite feed animation for the past 12 hrs

You could barely see T&T under that cloud.

[bluefete]

flooding right now in POS as usual!

But no big set of rain fell in POS!!!!

Thank God, I got out early.

[bluesclues]

Click animate to see the satellite feed animation for the past 12 hrs

You could barely see T&T under that cloud.

Will have to watch to see if it stabilizes or dissipates over the next 6-12hrs. Matthew have some long arms.

[aaron17]

flooding right now in POS as usual!

...which is not new.

[bluefete]

Will have to watch to see if it stabilizes or dissipates over the next 6-12hrs. Matthew have some long arms.

Amazing that it is so far up the island chain but we are getting a teeny weeny bit of it.

[xtech]

Heard Santa flora get it live last night.
Today going to be a long day yes. Wtb: red bull

For sure it started at midnight with heavy torrential rains...

4 or 5 little streams falling off my galvanize roof filled a empty barrel in 30mins...

lots of cloud to earth lighting near my house. Took power twice. Think it stopped falling around 3am an eased on an off until 6am. Was nice.

Right now it so nice an cool outside but I seeing people running their cars with AC on still.

[Morpheus]

If you can run AC at 4:30am, you could run AC anytime. Some people good like that yes...

[X_Factor]

i dont think we getting away from that tail to the east of us
in for some rainy weather

[PapaC]

Missed the weather report on the news, how tomorrow looking? Specifically North Coast

[X_Factor]

take a look at the first page, do your own assumptions

[pugboy]

Yeah it may have officially passed us but it is growing in size so the extra width catching us
Seems like a itcz band heading our way soon also

[maj. tom]

wdmc really going on with this storm and its ITCZ minions.

[X_Factor]

i read that its now a hurricane, is it possible for it to pull that itcz into it to form like a super storm kinda ting?
or am i watching too much sci fi?

[sMASH]

Is the low pressure zone at the north western side of Venezuela, and the wave heading towards us, of any concern?

[bluesclues]

Is the low pressure zone at the north western side of Venezuela, and the wave heading towards us, of any concern?

Looks like matthew dragged the wave with it and its solidifying there at the nw side of venezuela. We're in the clear for now unless the wave organizes into a seperate storm and starts travelling ESE back towards us. So... i think that's all folks. Work as usual in the morning. Could be a clear blue sky and hot sun day.

The split that occured earlier today only caused a temporary slowdown as matthew began resurging to new highs 2 hrs later to now be classed as a hurricane. Its heading plain west now so haiti might get spared. Was starting to feel sorry for them. Is back to the stone age with them if this ting hit them.

[2WNBoost]

^^ classified a hurricane since 2pm Thursday. Now a Category 2 hurricane.


000
WTNT34 KNHC 300559
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016

...MATTHEW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 69.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM N OF CURACAO
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Watch for Bonaire.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Curacao and Aruba
* Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia
should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica,
Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of
Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 69.3 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is forecast during the next
day or two.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155
km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Matthew could become a major hurricane
later today or tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter is 979
mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Curacao and Aruba
this morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions
of the watch area in Colombia beginning later today.

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through
Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions
of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao,
Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

[bluesclues]

Well matthew just flipped coriolis the bird and is now travelling wsw..

Allyuh stop tryin to turn d ting around nah. If that ting hit we trinidad might drown.

[cherrypopper]

Mathew just want to hear the budget too. .

[shem1996_]

Mathew just want to hear the budget too. .

Haha.

[sMASH]

Dat is why I was asking about the low pressure zone in Venezuela. I was thinking it would influence a southward direction. It could weaken as it gets a pulled away from the heat sources. But then we have this next wave coming closer.

[bluesclues]

Dat is why I was asking about the low pressure zone in Venezuela. I was thinking it would influence a southward direction. It could weaken as it gets a pulled away from the heat sources. But then we have this next wave coming closer.

Yeah that low pressure zone is now about the same size as matthew itself. Matthew dragged it while smaller and almost looks like he's building it up. Those tugs from the SE i would say are definitely influencing matthew's path. It kinda looks like a second yolk trying to establish itself just SE of matthew that's been giving matthew extended arms since yesterday. It came out small then kinda dissipated, then got larger and dissipated and then larger and so on to reach the size it is now. It's pretty massive right now. Northern venezuelan coast could take a heavy beating. I think it's already started.

[PariaMan]

Looks like another hot weekend

[shem1996_]

Long story short..... We getting the wave or not? I'm not a weather man..

[2WNBoost]

Category 3


000
WTNT34 KNHC 301733
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...MATTHEW STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE JUST NORTH OF THE GUAJIRA
PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 71.3W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM N OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA
ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia
should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica,
Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of
Matthew. A hurricane watch may be required for Jamaica later today.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located
near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 71.3 West. Matthew is moving
toward the west-southwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward motion
at a slower forward speed is expected later today and tonight. A
turn toward the west-northwest is forecast by Saturday night,
followed by a turn toward the northwest by early Sunday. On the
forecast track, the center of Matthew will pass north of the Guajira
Peninsula this afternoon and tonight and remain over the central
Caribbean Sea through early Sunday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with
higher gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-
Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast
during the next 48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles (315 km).

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from the aircraft
is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
warning area in Colombia later later today and tonight.

RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through
Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected along the coast of Colombia from the Venezuelan
border to Riohacha. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
higher amounts are expected along the coast of Venezuela from Coro
to the Colombian border.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions
of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao,
Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

[cherrypopper]

Matthew said the government will deal with us instead

[Slartibartfast]

Matthew said the government will deal with us instead

Nah Mathew was 'fraid' they wudda tax all the rain he bringing in until he is just a minor disturbance.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

Matthew now upgraded to Category 4 and predicted to head straight for Jamaica. If it does it will approach Kingston from the south

[PariaMan]

Actually heading south south west. It has not turned yet. It is predicted to turn west then north .

So not headed straight for Jamaica at least not yet.