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The official tropical weather thread 2018

this is how we do it.......

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shake d livin wake d dead
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 23rd, 2018, 4:59 am

Kirk like he want to visit :|
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083526_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 7:17 am

That projected cone is huge.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 7:27 am

All I waiting for is that S to change to H

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 7:28 am

matr1x wrote:All I waiting for is that S to change to H


Hope that happens after it passes us.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 7:35 am

Screenshot_2018-09-23-07-30-15.png


Lots of warm water to fuel it...

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 7:38 am

Where is the Sahara dust when you need it.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 8:01 am

Screenshot_2018-09-23-07-58-17.png


Here is a dust map

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » September 23rd, 2018, 10:27 am

What about wind shear?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby j.o.e » September 23rd, 2018, 11:10 am

Allyuh fellas have analysis like Seigonie. If only y’all were easy on the eyes

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 23rd, 2018, 11:28 am

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:What about wind shear?


Today in florida stated that it could reach cat 1...but again...still very early

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluesclues » September 23rd, 2018, 12:00 pm

Shields off.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 12:25 pm

I hope north Trinidad get it....

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby mero » September 23rd, 2018, 1:02 pm

matr1x wrote:I hope north Trinidad get it....
How come you the office creep yet can't take a proper screenshot?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 1:53 pm

mero wrote:
matr1x wrote:I hope north Trinidad get it....
How come you the office creep yet can't take a proper screenshot?


Who are you again?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 2:12 pm

Not enough dust.

j.o.e wrote:Allyuh fellas have analysis like Seigonie. If only y’all were easy on the eyes


Image

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » September 23rd, 2018, 2:43 pm

Image

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 3:22 pm

If that bottom line follows through, we are looking at CAT 3 -4, if it comes our way.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 23rd, 2018, 3:25 pm

bluefete wrote:If that bottom line follows through, we are looking at CAT 3 -4, if it comes our way.


Tobago looking like it would wash away

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby hydroep » September 23rd, 2018, 3:26 pm

Your Guavament working for you...

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 23rd, 2018, 4:11 pm

at least they know about it from now

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » September 23rd, 2018, 4:41 pm

The good news is that 6 of the 7 projections do not have it close to us.

But there is always a possibility ...

Meanwhile: No school Friday?????

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Joshie23 » September 23rd, 2018, 5:37 pm

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Image


What hurricane was that though, the one that passed right by us as a Category 3? It had to be a big one because its entire trek across the Caribbean was as a Category 4 or 5 monster.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 23rd, 2018, 6:29 pm

Joshie23 wrote:
Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Image


What hurricane was that though, the one that passed right by us as a Category 3? It had to be a big one because its entire trek across the Caribbean was as a Category 4 or 5 monster.


Ivan I think

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » September 23rd, 2018, 6:46 pm

Joshie23 and matr1x that graphic shows the computer models for Tropical Storm Kirk. It is showing all the calculated paths that Kirk "could" take based on all the weather data. 5 computer models say it will turn north, 3 of them say it will cross around Antigua or the British Virgin Islands and 1 model says it will pass just north of Trinidad & Tobago and then straight across jamaica as a CAT 4 hurricane.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Joshie23 » September 23rd, 2018, 7:08 pm

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Joshie23 and matr1x that graphic shows the computer models for Tropical Storm Kirk. It is showing all the calculated paths that Kirk "could" take based on all the weather data. 5 computer models say it will turn north, 3 of them say it will cross around Antigua or the British Virgin Islands and 1 model says it will pass just north of Trinidad & Tobago and then straight across jamaica as a CAT 4 hurricane.


Are you sure? The caption at the top LHS says that those are the paths of storms that were formed within 2 degrees of Kirk, over the last 166 years. I think matr1x is correct. Ivan was a beast.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 23rd, 2018, 7:17 pm

New graph on nhc has it north of trinidad..

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby PariaMan » September 23rd, 2018, 7:41 pm

That will be well north of us nothing to see here move along

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » September 24th, 2018, 12:47 am

Joshie23 wrote:
Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:Joshie23 and matr1x that graphic shows the computer models for Tropical Storm Kirk. It is showing all the calculated paths that Kirk "could" take based on all the weather data. 5 computer models say it will turn north, 3 of them say it will cross around Antigua or the British Virgin Islands and 1 model says it will pass just north of Trinidad & Tobago and then straight across jamaica as a CAT 4 hurricane.


Are you sure? The caption at the top LHS says that those are the paths of storms that were formed within 2 degrees of Kirk, over the last 166 years. I think matr1x is correct. Ivan was a beast.

Sorry my bad

Here are the models for Kirk
Image

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » September 24th, 2018, 4:47 am

Well it quickly fell apart. ...

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 24th, 2018, 5:27 am

now a TD

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