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The official tropical weather thread 2018

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bluefete
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby bluefete » October 13th, 2018, 6:13 pm


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hustla_ambition101
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby hustla_ambition101 » October 13th, 2018, 6:21 pm

This heatwave we getting as of late is sickening though

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby meccalli » October 13th, 2018, 6:27 pm

Place gonna cool down plenty next week.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby maj. tom » October 13th, 2018, 6:29 pm

Amazing how complacent people are about a hurricane hitting Trinidad. Chaos theory is a real thing fellas. All the probability models will mean squat if the conditions are just right for it to happen. Conditions that are unpredictable happen every season.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby PariaMan » October 13th, 2018, 6:52 pm

Seems like long odds

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby EFFECTIC DESIGNS » October 13th, 2018, 7:14 pm

hustla_ambition101 wrote:This heatwave we getting as of late is sickening though


yup I do a lot of work in the sun and it is just absolutely crazy not even a hat can help.

The only good thing is that we won't be hit by any hurricanes chances are slim to none anyways. Thank god we so far south yes

So is just the horrible heat we have to deal with

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby rspann » October 13th, 2018, 7:26 pm

Thank God? I thought you didnt belive in that?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby V2NR 3.0 » October 13th, 2018, 8:25 pm

With all these climatic changes - we will get hit.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby EFFECTIC DESIGNS » October 13th, 2018, 8:31 pm

Doubt it, we too far south, no evidence suggests that we will just be included in the hurricane belt at all

As it stands we are definitely outside the hurricane belt

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby adnj » October 13th, 2018, 8:57 pm

Trinidad is outside of the hurricane belt but has been hit by hurricanes and tropical storms. I doubt that many of the structures that I've seen in Trinidad will survive a hurricane, even though the building codes are written for earthquake and hurricane survival.

So far as heat is concerned, the hottest day in Trinidad on record is no hotter than many cities world wide.
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » October 13th, 2018, 9:42 pm

Looks like an interesting little surprise around the corner
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » October 13th, 2018, 9:46 pm

^ was watching the wave this morning. It's pretty low

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » October 13th, 2018, 9:48 pm

A cat 4 hurricane would polish Trinidad smoother than Rowley head

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PariaMan
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby PariaMan » October 13th, 2018, 9:48 pm

Started to far away will go north before it reaches us

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby X_Factor » October 13th, 2018, 9:50 pm

its reported to meet unfavorable conditions as it progresses

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » October 13th, 2018, 9:50 pm

Hurricane center said dominant westerly motion. We will get a breeze.

A cat 4 would flatten Trinidad almost as bad as when Marlene roll over

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby V2NR 3.0 » October 13th, 2018, 10:41 pm

EFFECTIC DESIGNS wrote:Doubt it, we too far south, no evidence suggests that we will just be included in the hurricane belt at all

As it stands we are definitely outside the hurricane belt


There are no longer historical norms as it pertains to weather patterns because of global climatic changes. I honestly thought we were gonna get wasted this year. And yes, environmental is my thing. The trends are becoming more and more scary.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby V2NR 3.0 » October 13th, 2018, 10:42 pm

adnj wrote:Trinidad is outside of the hurricane belt but has been hit by hurricanes and tropical storms. I doubt that many of the structures that I've seen in Trinidad will survive a hurricane, even though the building codes are written for earthquake and hurricane survival.

So far as heat is concerned, the hottest day in Trinidad on record is no hotter than many cities world wide.
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Correct

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby redmanjp » October 13th, 2018, 10:45 pm

maj. tom wrote:Amazing how complacent people are about a hurricane hitting Trinidad. Chaos theory is a real thing fellas. All the probability models will mean squat if the conditions are just right for it to happen. Conditions that are unpredictable happen every season.


Like they forget Bret last year already. We were only lucky it was a baby storm with 40 mph winds when it crossed us. And yet it STILL did some damage in the South. From 40mph winds. What will 75 mph winds (Only a Cat. 1 hurricane) Do? We certainly not prepared for even weaker hurricanes far less major (Cat. 3 and higher) monsters.

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PariaMan
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby PariaMan » October 13th, 2018, 11:10 pm

It was a baby storm because where we are located no time to develop

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby redmanjp » October 13th, 2018, 11:26 pm

PariaMan wrote:It was a baby storm because where we are located no time to develop

True. But storms that form further east and South could certainly hit us and cause a lot of damage.

Remember Ivan? If I remember it went unusually South and put us under hurricane warning. Then luckily it bypassed us and wiped out Grenada.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby V2NR 3.0 » October 13th, 2018, 11:39 pm

redmanjp wrote:
PariaMan wrote:It was a baby storm because where we are located no time to develop

True. But storms that form further east and South could certainly hit us and cause a lot of damage.

Remember Ivan? If I remember it went unusually South and put us under hurricane warning. Then luckily it bypassed us and wiped out Grenada.


Correct. We have to change our mindset.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby MaxPower » October 14th, 2018, 12:14 am

Duane 3NE 2NR wrote:^ was watching the wave this morning. It's pretty low



Interesting...any formation that low is of concern.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » October 14th, 2018, 1:11 am

Scratch Dat. Veering away from us. Someone else's problem

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby Duane 3NE 2NR » October 14th, 2018, 1:16 am

Seems conditions are unfavourable for further development
NHC wrote:A tropical wave located about midway between the west coast of
Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development
of this system is possible during the next day or two before
environmental conditions become unfavorable. This wave is expected
to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

it's fairly big though
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby meccalli » October 14th, 2018, 7:00 am

Rain coming either way, particularly tuesday and thursday into friday. Most likely flooding.

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PariaMan
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby PariaMan » October 14th, 2018, 7:29 am

Exactly flooding is such a regular occurrence that the government and the people who live in such areas should be taking proactive measures to prevent this from happening

Instead of worrying about the big one

That is the clear and present danger

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby adnj » October 14th, 2018, 8:08 am

meccalli wrote:Rain coming either way, particularly tuesday and thursday into friday. Most likely flooding.
ForecastImage

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby matr1x » October 14th, 2018, 9:31 am

It's veering back our way..



Quick Marlene! Open your legs and scare the system away!

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2018

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » October 14th, 2018, 12:16 pm

Still yellow...early days yet...

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