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The official tropical weather thread 2020

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shake d livin wake d dead
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 21st, 2019, 8:01 pm

bluefete wrote:
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Swing north


sMASH wrote:Ting may pass north mostly. Last year, north was under pressure, south only the usual suspects got high ish water.


shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
PariaMan wrote:
wickedtuna wrote:Any sat pics
Hmm starting to look interesting

Big red area developingScreenshot_20190921-193311.jpeg


Yeah it starting to look lil troubling


Tuner forecasters versus MET Office forecasters!!!!


Bai I trying to use meh own geography skills(which is none) cuz met office like they have no more updates

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby bluefete » September 21st, 2019, 8:08 pm

shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
bluefete wrote:
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Swing north


sMASH wrote:Ting may pass north mostly. Last year, north was under pressure, south only the usual suspects got high ish water.


shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
PariaMan wrote:
wickedtuna wrote:Any sat pics
Hmm starting to look interesting

Big red area developingScreenshot_20190921-193311.jpeg


Yeah it starting to look lil troubling


Tuner forecasters versus MET Office forecasters!!!!


Bai I trying to use meh own geography skills(which is none) cuz met office like they have no more updates


The MET office has to wait on the USA to tell them what to say.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby tropi_flakes » September 21st, 2019, 8:40 pm

If this system hits, I wonder if all the drain and river works done will actually help the situation.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby redmanjp » September 21st, 2019, 8:48 pm

bluefete wrote:
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
bluefete wrote:
shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Swing north


sMASH wrote:Ting may pass north mostly. Last year, north was under pressure, south only the usual suspects got high ish water.


shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
PariaMan wrote:
wickedtuna wrote:Any sat pics
Hmm starting to look interesting

Big red area developingScreenshot_20190921-193311.jpeg


Yeah it starting to look lil troubling


Tuner forecasters versus MET Office forecasters!!!!


Bai I trying to use meh own geography skills(which is none) cuz met office like they have no more updates


The MET office has to wait on the USA to tell them what to say.


to be fair our Met Office doh have ah plane actually flying into d ting and making measurements so they do depend on NHC for that data

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby redmanjp » September 21st, 2019, 8:51 pm

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jerry, located a few hundred miles north of Puerto Rico.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave
located less than 100 miles east of Barbados have not become any
better organized during the day, and the system does not have a
well-defined circulation. However, a NOAA Hurricane Hunter mission
earlier this afternoon indicated that the wave is producing winds
to 35 mph
. At least gradual development of this system is
expected, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form
during the next couple of days while it moves westward and
then northwestward at about 15 mph across the Windward Islands and
over the eastern Caribbean Sea. This system is then expected to
turn northward, moving near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on
Tuesday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds
are likely over much of the Lesser Antilles during the next couple
of days and will likely spread across Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands by Monday night or Tuesday. Interests across the eastern
Caribbean should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby MaxPower » September 21st, 2019, 9:08 pm

Hello friends,

For those who are looking at a satellite image for the first time, please remain calm.

A colorful satellite image is not the end of the world, and it also does not make you all meteorologists over night.

It is, however, a good practice be prepared at all times.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby matr1x » September 21st, 2019, 9:14 pm

Actually, met office works with noaa

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby zoomedic » September 21st, 2019, 9:16 pm

When early this year when the highway was flooded
No official ever came forward with a logical explanation as yet to date
Any body see any panic buying as yet just asking for the benefit of the doubles ppl etc

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby randolphinshan » September 21st, 2019, 9:21 pm

MaxPower wrote:Hello friends,

For those who are looking at a satellite image for the first time, please remain calm.

A colorful satellite image is not the end of the world, and it also does not make you all meteorologists over night.

It is, however, a good practice be prepared at all times.


Well said

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby VexXx Dogg » September 21st, 2019, 9:23 pm

zoomedic wrote:When early this year when the highway was flooded
No official ever came forward with a logical explanation as yet to date
Any body see any panic buying as yet just asking for the benefit of the doubles ppl etc

You mean october last year for the great flood?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby d.d.s. » September 21st, 2019, 9:25 pm

zoomedic wrote:When early this year when the highway was flooded
No official ever came forward with a logical explanation as yet to date
Any body see any panic buying as yet just asking for the benefit of the doubles ppl etc


Yeah, panic buyers at Aeromart in St. Helena.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby redmanjp » September 21st, 2019, 9:30 pm

Met Office said to expect 50-60 mm of rain with isolated amounts of 100. How does that compare with last October rains and floods?

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 21st, 2019, 9:40 pm

redmanjp wrote:Met Office said to expect 50-60 mm of rain with isolated amounts of 100. How does that compare with last October rains and floods?


What was the figure in October last year

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby sMASH » September 21st, 2019, 9:51 pm

shake d livin wake d dead wrote:
redmanjp wrote:Met Office said to expect 50-60 mm of rain with isolated amounts of 100. How does that compare with last October rains and floods?


What was the figure in October last year

when pressed last year about how we did not get a hurricane, they came out with the excuse we got the rainfall for the whole year, in just one day, or sumting to that effect. not a real figure.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 21st, 2019, 9:55 pm

Colorful
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby PariaMan » September 21st, 2019, 9:59 pm

shake d livin wake d dead wrote:Colorful
Look like rain in we mc

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby snypaz » September 21st, 2019, 10:26 pm

Robin Maharaj would know what to say.

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shake d livin wake d dead
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 21st, 2019, 11:13 pm

Latest update I saw
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby PariaMan » September 21st, 2019, 11:26 pm

Nothing yet in Santa Cruz looked at the sangre Grande cam and there clear too

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 21st, 2019, 11:41 pm

PariaMan wrote:Nothing yet in Santa Cruz looked at the sangre Grande cam and there clear too


Just very overcast...imagine men betting on that new bridge which is being built....up to this evening ah man pelt out he hunjed saying that washing away

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby PariaMan » September 21st, 2019, 11:44 pm

Rain start not heavy but steady

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby shake d livin wake d dead » September 22nd, 2019, 12:09 am

:agrue:
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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby grad » September 22nd, 2019, 12:42 am

Colourful

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby The_Honourable » September 22nd, 2019, 1:44 am

Light rain in San Fernando, heavy cloud cover.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby brickman » September 22nd, 2019, 1:54 am

The_Honourable wrote:Light rain in San Fernando, heavy cloud cover.
Same in p.o.s but add in windy conditions.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby Dizzy28 » September 22nd, 2019, 2:29 am

Nothing to talk about in Tobago. Very light drizzle for the past hour. Nothing of substance since 4pm

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby redmanjp » September 22nd, 2019, 2:36 am


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda.

Satellite, radar and surface data indicate that the area of low pressure located just north of Tobago in the Windward Islands is becoming better organized and is producing winds to near tropical storm force in the eastern portion of the system. Further development of this disturbance is expected over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form while it moves west-northwestward and then northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the Windward Islands and over the eastern Caribbean Sea. The system is then expected to turn northward, moving near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands on Tuesday. Heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds are likely over much of the Leeward and Windward Islands during the next couple of days and will spread across Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Monday night or Tuesday. Interests across the eastern Caribbean should monitor the progress of this low, and tropical storm watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico later today. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby goalpost » September 22nd, 2019, 3:46 am

On duty TTEC... Valencia quiet & dry.

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby K74T » September 22nd, 2019, 3:52 am

Pouring in Chaguaramas

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Re: The official tropical weather thread 2019

Postby PariaMan » September 22nd, 2019, 4:36 am

Heavy and steady in Santa cruz

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