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De Dragon wrote:bluesclues wrote:only problem boy op.. is that it doesnt seem that you know that austerity measures.. IS a keynesian strategy. sure it has pulled countries out of recesion before. but remember recession is a cyclical pattern and by using the same policies each recession was always worse than the one before.
but evidently the only measures that cut recessions almost immediately is if governments facilitate the people over the corporations and let bad corporations die. too big to fail as a mantra has to be abandoned. corporations that run on policies that bleed a country dry economically need to face the burden of their poor choices when the economy come back around looking to balance their section. corporation do shyt.. take it over, if its too difficult to manage sell to someone else with a new set of restrictions that will prevent them making the same mistakes that led to that situation.
in keynes though the main philosophy IS THERE. they know that they have to get more CIRCULATION going. but they found a shortcut that allowed them to create that circulation within a small circle. leaving out the general population but still representing well in our gdp books. but originally.. increasing circulation means more money in consumer hands so that they dont feel any pinch. that is consumer confidence.. when consumers actually have money. regardless of tough times or not.. ppl with strong finances will spend to keep their quality of life as close as possible to what theyre accustomed to.
but im with you on the austerity for mega projects thing. we really have no business again trying to facilitate the economy by awarding large contractor agency jobs. individual works jobs on our roads alone will have a much greater impact imv.
The Contractors' Association president said that wrt to the housing thrust being contemplated. Spread the contracts and not award mega contracts. I agree as long as the contractor has the resources to do the job safely and properly, Sammy and others have too much contracts for other things to be looking to do housing as well.
De Dragon wrote:bluesclues wrote:only problem boy op.. is that it doesnt seem that you know that austerity measures.. IS a keynesian strategy. sure it has pulled countries out of recesion before. but remember recession is a cyclical pattern and by using the same policies each recession was always worse than the one before.
but evidently the only measures that cut recessions almost immediately is if governments facilitate the people over the corporations and let bad corporations die. too big to fail as a mantra has to be abandoned. corporations that run on policies that bleed a country dry economically need to face the burden of their poor choices when the economy come back around looking to balance their section. corporation do shyt.. take it over, if its too difficult to manage sell to someone else with a new set of restrictions that will prevent them making the same mistakes that led to that situation.
in keynes though the main philosophy IS THERE. they know that they have to get more CIRCULATION going. but they found a shortcut that allowed them to create that circulation within a small circle. leaving out the general population but still representing well in our gdp books. but originally.. increasing circulation means more money in consumer hands so that they dont feel any pinch. that is consumer confidence.. when consumers actually have money. regardless of tough times or not.. ppl with strong finances will spend to keep their quality of life as close as possible to what theyre accustomed to.
but im with you on the austerity for mega projects thing. we really have no business again trying to facilitate the economy by awarding large contractor agency jobs. individual works jobs on our roads alone will have a much greater impact imv.
The Contractors' Association president said that wrt to the housing thrust being contemplated. Spread the contracts and not award mega contracts. I agree as long as the contractor has the resources to do the job safely and properly, Sammy and others have too much contracts for other things to be looking to do housing as well.
De Dragon wrote:Allergic2BunnyEars wrote:De Dragon wrote:Allergic2BunnyEars wrote:De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:Trinispougla wrote:ingalook wrote:WTF you guys on about Sheep?
Measure your PNM and UNC penises in your own threads
That is the problem with T&T politics, no one is willing to think on their own, everybody towing the party line - regardless of whether or not it is good for the country
When I came out against UNC policies it was the same thing from the other side![]()
Redman, Habit7, rfari and RASC ALL concede that the VAT reduction was done to benefit DOMA and the corporate fat cats in Trinidad
They ALL concede that it will ultimately hurt poor people and the country BUT - it is a PNM policy and election promise so they are fine with it.
I calling them sheep is an insult to these noble animals
Boss, Aboud come out say he did not say enough.Amcham, Pt Lisas business chamber and chaguanas business chamber said he was spot on. The only thing Dr Hosein was skeptical about was the housing drive. The only thing the Chamber of commerce disagreed with was splitting the H&S fund although economists have been saying to do this for years.
Dont bother Spougla....at times its necessary to seperate the sheep from the GOATS.
Ask Anand....its a vital distinction when driving your...
...uh point home.
Yes, let's just ignore the dissenting opinions.
What do you suggest the Government do as a way forward to improve the economy?
Scrap the rail, diversify the economy, cut wastage by scaling back the mega-projects. Enforce/improve tax collection. Tax gambling heavily. Leave VAT as it is, with some zero rated items. Get more value out of the gas supply chain by partnering with companies in JV's instead of just collecting taxes.
Ok that's a start. How do you propose they diversify the economy?
Manufacturing, agriculture, film industry, shipyards, technology, communications, fashion,
What mega projects can they scale back on currently?
Rapid rail
Partnering in JV to achieve what in your scenario? As in physically collecting of the gas? Or for technology sharing purposes? Both?
No instead of allowing companies to come here and our only involvement is gas sales and tax collection, we should be sharing in the actual profits as wellImproved tax collection was one of the points Imbert mentioned in his budget I believe.
Yes, but there still has to be enforcement of the collection regime and penalties.
Do you agree with property tax?
Yes, but not the proposed property valuation modelPlenty questions yes but they are for clarification purposes.
I don't see how cutting back on rapid rail helps when nothing has started as yet besides studies? Also if rapid rail was funded via a long term loan how is it a substantial drain on the economy in the short term or long term if the yearly payments are relatively small/manageable? It's not like the money is coming directly as needed from the treasury like the new highway.
In what way would you prefer the property tax to be implemented?
Redman wrote:I don't see how cutting back on rapid rail helps when nothing has started as yet besides studies? Also if rapid rail was funded via a long term loan how is it a substantial drain on the economy in the short term or long term if the yearly payments are relatively small/manageable? It's not like the money is coming directly as needed from the treasury like the new highway.
I disagree with the RR.
My issue with this is that if it is financed....we are subject to forex and interest rate risk on a substantial level.
The size of the project means that the interest rate payments and the exchange rate can have disproportionate impacts for the life of the loan.
Sen. The Hon. F. Khan: I would not call the name of the person, but let me put on the record, Madam President: a typical IDB loan, listen to me, a typical IDB loan has a five-year moratorium. I am speaking to the national population, not to you, Senators, but a moratorium means you do not pay anything for five years. The interest is approximately 3 per cent to 4 per cent, and the repayment period is between 20 to 30 years. Madam President, this is the closest thing you will ever get to free money; they foregone this, to fund the largest single infrastructural project in this country from the current account
http://www.ttparliament.org/hansards/hs20151208.pdf
ingalook wrote:Trinispougla wrote:De Dragon wrote:ingalook wrote:WTF you guys on about Sheep?
Measure your PNM and UNC penises in your own threads
That is the problem with T&T politics, no one is willing to think on their own, everybody towing the party line - regardless of whether or not it is good for the country
When I came out against UNC policies it was the same thing from the other side![]()
Redman, Habit7, rfari and RASC ALL concede that the VAT reduction was done to benefit DOMA and the corporate fat cats in Trinidad
They ALL concede that it will ultimately hurt poor people and the country BUT - it is a PNM policy and election promise so they are fine with it.
I think calling them sheep is an insult to these noble animals
Well make a facking thread that no one could post in, because ALL threads degenerate into PP/PNM bashing, even the road tripping one. Sheep don't like to be called sheep yunno.
Yeah scrap de rail, like we scrap the smelter? Don't scrap it, postpone it until we have the money to pay back the IMF. Now isn't the time to diversify. The time for that, as Harold Ramkissoon said, was in 2012 when the first independent oil companies started to collect their first barrels of shale oil and gas. What this time is about is protecting the gains we have made. If we diversify in now, we are only going to get the proceeds from that in the next 4-5 years, its not going to help us. The unfortunate fact is that oil and gas got us into this mess, and oil and gas is going to get us out,. Diversification should have been taken atleast five to ten years ago. A major project in diversifying the downstream sector, the smelter was cancelled and we are feeling the effects
Getting rid of the smelter was a mistake, I think I said that a few years back - men brought in machinery to make rims (wheels) down her and were left with their dicks in their hands... imagine where we would have been with all those downstream industries
Closing down Caroni was a big mistake as well... it was burning money, but there was so much potential there.
You kinda just glossing over the VAT issue tho... but I doubt that is by accident
Habit7 wrote:Redman wrote:I don't see how cutting back on rapid rail helps when nothing has started as yet besides studies? Also if rapid rail was funded via a long term loan how is it a substantial drain on the economy in the short term or long term if the yearly payments are relatively small/manageable? It's not like the money is coming directly as needed from the treasury like the new highway.
I disagree with the RR.
My issue with this is that if it is financed....we are subject to forex and interest rate risk on a substantial level.
The size of the project means that the interest rate payments and the exchange rate can have disproportionate impacts for the life of the loan.
Not quite.Sen. The Hon. F. Khan: I would not call the name of the person, but let me put on the record, Madam President: a typical IDB loan, listen to me, a typical IDB loan has a five-year moratorium. I am speaking to the national population, not to you, Senators, but a moratorium means you do not pay anything for five years. The interest is approximately 3 per cent to 4 per cent, and the repayment period is between 20 to 30 years. Madam President, this is the closest thing you will ever get to free money; they foregone this, to fund the largest single infrastructural project in this country from the current account
http://www.ttparliament.org/hansards/hs20151208.pdf
You can't even get a mortgage that good.
Trinispougla wrote:ingalook wrote:Trinispougla wrote:De Dragon wrote:ingalook wrote:WTF you guys on about Sheep?
Measure your PNM and UNC penises in your own threads
That is the problem with T&T politics, no one is willing to think on their own, everybody towing the party line - regardless of whether or not it is good for the country
When I came out against UNC policies it was the same thing from the other side![]()
Redman, Habit7, rfari and RASC ALL concede that the VAT reduction was done to benefit DOMA and the corporate fat cats in Trinidad
They ALL concede that it will ultimately hurt poor people and the country BUT - it is a PNM policy and election promise so they are fine with it.
I think calling them sheep is an insult to these noble animals
Well make a facking thread that no one could post in, because ALL threads degenerate into PP/PNM bashing, even the road tripping one. Sheep don't like to be called sheep yunno.
Yeah scrap de rail, like we scrap the smelter? Don't scrap it, postpone it until we have the money to pay back the IMF. Now isn't the time to diversify. The time for that, as Harold Ramkissoon said, was in 2012 when the first independent oil companies started to collect their first barrels of shale oil and gas. What this time is about is protecting the gains we have made. If we diversify in now, we are only going to get the proceeds from that in the next 4-5 years, its not going to help us. The unfortunate fact is that oil and gas got us into this mess, and oil and gas is going to get us out,. Diversification should have been taken atleast five to ten years ago. A major project in diversifying the downstream sector, the smelter was cancelled and we are feeling the effects
Getting rid of the smelter was a mistake, I think I said that a few years back - men brought in machinery to make rims (wheels) down her and were left with their dicks in their hands... imagine where we would have been with all those downstream industries
Closing down Caroni was a big mistake as well... it was burning money, but there was so much potential there.
You kinda just glossing over the VAT issue tho... but I doubt that is by accident
Firstly, it became impossible to make any sort of profit from Caroni. Thanks to the Lome Accord in Togo, colonial powers refused to allow in certain products, bananas, sugarcane, baggas(besides its moisture making it inferior as a fuel) etc at preferential rates This is the reason the banana industry in Guatemala and other places collapsed. These measures were meant as pseudo-compensation for colonization and by the time the new millenium dawned, they had had enough. There was nothing Mr Panday or Mr Manning could have done to save the industry. It was finished.
zoom rader wrote:Reading this chead and the present PNM plans shows that PNM is clueless.
Trinispougla wrote:
NOW I will get to that VAT issue. Farmers support the reduction in vat. Also, the VAT issue cannot be taken out of context with the other taxes we have to pay. Personal allowance is going to be increased, therefore people will be more willing to pay and measures are being put in place to increase the scope of the tax control structure. If personal income increases, so doers tax collection, exemplified by the last time it increased in 2006, where tax collection increased by 50%
Trinispougla wrote:And that is the thing Dragon, this is a holding measure. Problem with the capitalist system is it encourages individual rights rather than duty to the economic well being of the rest of citizens in the rest of the country. Which is why yuh could have creeps like Trump and Americans telling India they responsible for global warming. But the price ofvoil could yet rise. Events in the mideast to close to Iran entering the market to be coincidental. Just my opinion. But TT really needs to diversify in a major way in truth. The rapid rail could wait until we have enough money. Although the IDB really operates on the proviso of your ability to pay back the loans over years. They don't ask for the money immediately. This is the reason a poor country like Bolivia could have major infrastructural projects handled by the IDB. For decades starting in the 70s, they were in an abusive relationship with IMF and the world bank. But prudent fiscal management has seen them move from there to being one of the few Latin American states that had any sort of meaningful growth last year. Brazil and Argentina in the exact opposite position. Anyway the IDB only dealing with them because now they believe they will be able to pay the loan back. This is also the reason for years, the IDB signed only MOU's in Haiti and never did any real work. When they are doing a project, they bring all the acountants, engineers, technicians etc. Hence the govtt not really spending a heaping set of money initially but will be overtime and hence that project should wait until we have a little more legroom
De Dragon wrote:Sadly, I have to agree. Successive Gov'ts have too much special interests to serve and repay at the cost of national development. Sadly too the present, and even upcoming politicians all seem to be like-minded. I sometimes think that the politics will never change.
Trinispougla wrote:You haven't read my statement properly. I said that the decrease in VAT could not be taken in isolation from the other initiatives(I.e the increase in personal allowance ) and that increases the willingness to to pay taxes as happened in 2006. The products that are zero percent rated right now are luxury items. Even with VAT, those items are going to be cheaper than they were before VAT was taken off when it was 15%. As I said the vast majority of those zero rated items are what is frequently called luxury items. Check de no VAT list provided in 2012. Yogurt. Meats soaked in brine, sweetened biscuits etc. When you go to the market,the first thing you go after do not include those items. Essentially is ah set of imported items which levels the playing field for local producers. Tell me is it necessary to have dates,one of the items on the no VAT list? It is also proven that diligent tax collection stimulates economic activity. As i said to a fellow chuner, Belgium pays 42% in taxes which is why very few people, even professionals and technical persons do not own cars. And the story is very similar all across the EU.This is also the reason why even in times of recession, there is always economic activity in Europe hence the ability to maintain and embark on projects that stimulate economic activity like railway building/maintainance, road building which not only benefits the public but also benefits the coffers especially if done with the help of the private sector. Two years ago,Italy rejected Mario Monti's tax increases especially property tax thinking that he was paying off rich investors without thinking that taxes go towards better roads and schools. Hence 2014 and 2015 were some of the worst years for the Italian economy in decades. Boss you tink I want to pay so much taxes dread? But we are in a recession or it may be a period of stagnation(depends on which side of the lenses you are cause the economists in uwi not calling it a recession whereas technocrats from the CB call it such) but in order to maintain, and that is the operative word, the strides we have made, taxation is necessary. Diversification not going to help us now and every economist knows that. The time for that has passed. If it were possible to access a new market tomorrow, the profits from it would only be reaped in the next 3-5 years. In the meantime what are your options? The answer is obvious. No doubt we need alternative revenue streams, but we have 2016 to tackle and we cannot think beyond that. Which leads me to the next point. Technocrats for years have advocated splitting the H&S fund for exactly situations like these. So taxes increase yes, but you have a buffer to at least soften the impact on the lower middle and lower classes. And of course this is all dependent on what the authorities do with those taxes which would in turn determine whether they are a one or two term government
Redman wrote:Ok I will bite...
ZR...why would you say that?
De Dragon wrote:There are people who are involved in all these sectors, seek their views on the way in which these areas can be made to generate income for the country. Aggressively go after the tax evaders. How is joint venture more taxation? I mean get to the level where the State actually gets a share of the profits of the industry. If a company is paying you 25 % tax on profits, then there is 75 % left on the table. Also with regards to the RR, do you take loans that you don't need just because you can?![]()
Listen, I don't have, or pretend to have the nuts and bolts for these ideas, they are not in my area of expertise, but I would think that is what a competent Government would facilitate through consultation and current expertise. That is what they get paid to do.
De Dragon wrote:Redman wrote:Ok I will bite...
ZR...why would you say that?
He'd prolly recommend restoring the Government to the PP, or at least removing all 'groids from the PNM.
No Tun Tun!
Is not that we talking bout boy... its the 2.5 - 3% REDUCTION in VAT
This would cost the country about $1.5 Billion A YEAR! That $1.5b goes largely into the pockets of retailers/merchants/DOMA
The citizenry would then be asked to pick up this bill via increased taxation, $6000 speeding tickets etc.
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