2010 and 2011 Tropical weather discussion

[redmanjp]

11PM NHC advisory- again the US knows whats going on wrt to warnings for us before its posted for us here http://metoffice.gov.tt/watches/article.aspx?id=8347

BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010

...CENTER OF TOMAS NOW OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS STILL OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 62.1W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST.
VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
ST. LUCIA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
MARTINIQUE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* TOBAGO
* GRENADA

THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO WILL BE DISCONTINUING THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST.

[redmanjp]

lol like dey read meh post oui

WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR TOBAGO

http://metoffice.gov.tt/watches/article.aspx?id=8347

Warning#

Date: Saturday 30th of October 2010
ISSUED AT:11:32PM

The Government of Trinidad and Tobago has lifted
the Tropical Storm Warning for Tobago,
The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Services
has lifted the Tropical Storm Warning for Grenada
and its dependencies.


At 11:00:pm yesterday, Saturday October 30, the
centre of Hurricane Tomas was located near
13.6ºN latitude 62.1ºW longitude and no longer
poses a threat to the islands of interest.


This is the final advisory that the Trinidad and
Tobago Meteorological Services will issue on
Hurricane Tomas but we will continue to monitor
this system as it moves further into the
Caribbean Sea and away from the Southern Windward
Islands.

[stuartsc]

doh know how to embed flash here (somebody could show me) but if you look at this link you will see the clouds coming closer to us from the east

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis.html

wait- what do the red & white colours in this pic mean- epic rain & flood?

[zcarz]

Meteorologist Dr. Rowley has declared that there we should stop wasting our time worrying about any tropical storms or hurricanes because God is a Trini. The forecast for the rest of the year, sunny with no chance of thunderstorms, waves normal 1 m in sheltered areas.

[redmanjp]

according to the pics it should be cloudy to overcast by now- saw some clouds building outside

[streetbeastINC.]

lots of rain in grande..

[Alexy]

rain/lightning in da southland...debe..penal and in siparia too

[novastar1]

Light rain in La Romaine

[brickman]

Getting cloudy in p.o.s,breeze picking up.Last to get anything if anything is left.

[FriendlyFire]

I guess a feeder band from Hurricane Tomas is affecting Trinidad and Tobago and because of the slow movement of the system we may see this continuing for some time. If however the feeder band weakens we could get some relief. Radar sequence from metoffice.gov.tt is showing the movement of a narrow strip of rain clouds across Trinidad and Tobago in a north easterly direction.

Hook?

Hook?

Your imput would be welcome.


*sigh*

Yuh never miss the water till the well run dry.

Tomas is now a category 2 Hurricane and seems to be increasing in size.

[xtech]

Power outages reported all over Tobago an it raining hard

[geodude]

updates??

[slickonit]

Rel rain in south

[geodude]

only rain or are there high winds also?
looks like today is going to be a very wet one, be safe ppl, i hope it all passes smoothly

[slickonit]

just a heavy downpour but cleared up now

[Rutless Tiida]

You all wanted rain well take that....
Raining hard in Aranguez right now...

[bluefete]

BE CAREFUL WHAT YOU WISH FOR; YOU MIGHT GET IT.

[rxforever]

rain in arima....

[Kenjo]

Oh Gahdooh!!! Tomas make ah tack back eek!it raining in St Joseph.i have to head to Chaguanas now so i will see how the highway is

[Halfbreed07]

Nothing to talk bout in Charlieville

[tr1ad]

ent playerskrew wanted rain....hope he flood out

[rossi]

In Bago right now, reallll rain since around 2 this morning. Electricity only coming and going. Honestly, I never see electricity disrupted like that, around 20 times in an hour.....maddness.

[MISHI]

Yes it was bad... that series of thunder @ 4AM JEEZ...

Canaan Bonaccord road flooded...

[Toyopet]

ent playerskrew wanted rain....hope he flood out

And you get to be a mod...real small minded people

[MISHI]

I as a tot experienced FLORA in Tobago and to this day i can recall the some 6 hour of horror before my system as a child shut me down and i fell asleep.I hope never to have to live thru something like that again.People this is just not talk but the noise,the vibration,the ripping up of vegetation and property will turn anybody into a believer that we can be visited by hell on earth.A hurricane warning must be taken seriously and further even before that time comes ensure where you live could take some real jamming invest in property maintenance before hand.

Wasn't around for Flora... Parents/ grandparents gave me the stories... Lambeau could see Crown point clear as day when all the trees were levelled...

But we've had some pretty strong ones... the one that always is in my mind is TS bret in 93...

[Damien]

like tomas making ah tack back?

[redmanjp]

Yes it was bad... that series of thunder @ 4AM JEEZ...

Canaan Bonaccord road flooded...

and that happen AFTER they discontinue the warning- lol

[redmanjp]

http://metoffice.gov.tt/bulletins/article.aspx?id=5981

Bulletin#

Date: Sunday 31st of October 2010
ISSUED AT:08:36AM

Trinidad and to a greater extent Tobago have been
experiencing cloudy to overcast conditions with
showers and thundershowers over the last six
hours. This is due to a feeder band into
Hurricane Tomas.


Although Trinidad and Tobago are not within the
immediate environment of Hurricane Tomas, showers
and thundershowers will continue to develop for
the next 3 to 5 hours over both islands.


Moderate to heavy showers can be expected along
with isolated thundershowers capable of producing
1 to 2 inches of rainfall. These downpours can
yield moderate to severe street or flash flooding
and strong bursts of gusts in excess of 40kmh.
There is also the potential for
landslides/landslips.


Citizens are advised to be vigilant and cautious
given the forecast weather conditions. All
necessary measures must be adopted to preserve
life and property.


THIS IS NOT A TROPICAL STORM / HURRICANE WARNING.


The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service is
closely monitoring this weather situation and will
issue another bulletin if the situation warrants.


S. Shakeer
Meteorologist

[NorStar2K]

5 Day Track Forecast



NOAA / NHC Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook



Wind Swath Forecast Map



Model Track Forecast



ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010

...TOMAS WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.0N 63.7W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF BARBADOS...FRANCE...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE
DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. TOMAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN

NNNN

[redmanjp]

it aiming for poor Haiti