The Official Tropical Weather Thread 2022

[DMan7]

Of course, you can also try putty around the windows if there are gaps when the window was first installed.

[paid_influencer]

the wind is probably blowing it through the gaps even though the lip supposed to block water moving up against gravity
maybe you could try stuffing or running some strips of cloth to fill up the gap before closing the windows to block air whistling through and pushing water

any idea on how to stop water coming in from windows? normally not a problem but back in 2017 rain did fall all sides and come in and I was mopping for 2 hours in the middle of the night.

something temporary and cheap

gonna try this + tape

[j.o.e]

I cornflicted on the school thing. schools serve as a child care center while parents carry out the necessary preparation work either at home or at businesses. and children themselves have test and that is a stress by itself.

the TS Warning say start time 8:00pm, so I guess 5 hours is enough buffer for the kids to reach home (school supposed to be 3km from home, at least at primary school level afaik).

Exactly. Everyone braying about this forgetting a parent has the option to keep their kids home. Closing schools when parents haven’t made any arrangements is worse

[pugboy]

you could also run silicone on the frame side then cover it with a strip of glad wrap
then close the window so the window would squish the silicone tight and seal better.
the glad wrap can be removed after the silicone dries

[Les Bain]

any idea on how to stop water coming in from windows? normally not a problem but back in 2017 rain did fall all sides and come in and I was mopping for 2 hours in the middle of the night.

something temporary and cheap

Been having a problem in the early morning where bees see the light on and enter my bathroom via a badly installed window. Had a box of Caulk Cord Weatherseal lying around for years and it fixed that problem as well as dealt with the draft coming through the closed window.

[bluefete]

I cornflicted on the school thing. schools serve as a child care center while parents carry out the necessary preparation work either at home or at businesses. and children themselves have test and that is a stress by itself.

the TS Warning say start time 8:00pm, so I guess 5 hours is enough buffer for the kids to reach home (school supposed to be 3km from home, at least at primary school level afaik).

Exactly. Everyone braying about this forgetting a parent has the option to keep their kids home. Closing schools when parents haven’t made any arrangements is worse

Just talked to a friend who said the exact thing.

[Dave]

It would be utter chaos if in the middle of the day schools were told to send kids home. Mass exodus of ppl on the roads causing grid lock traffic plus everyone at the same time requesting time off to go get kids... Sounds like the day of policing.

The consolation is the effect starts at 8pm giving everyone enough time to get home and batten down the hatches.

[Duane 3NE 2NR]

any idea on how to stop water coming in from windows? normally not a problem but back in 2017 rain did fall all sides and come in and I was mopping for 2 hours in the middle of the night.

something temporary and cheap

You can try adhesive-back foam strip - a number of hardwares have locally.
Open the window, stick it on to the frame, close the window. It forms a seal - Helps your A/C work better too

81FJLuy2JFL._AC_UL320_.jpg (16.89 KiB) Viewed 976 times

[shake d livin wake d dead]

What he said^. Around 1300 or so tomorrow,the highways, gas stations, groceries etc would be ram packed with last minute panic buyers.
Those sitting cxc and cape should just leave immediately after. As per other children, parents should note that one day away from school will not kill them. If that storm does some damage schools should be closed on Wednesday.

[redmanjp]

4 to 6 inches of rain. we done does flood with 1 inch alone.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/272335.shtml?

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022022
800 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022

...DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF
FRENCH GUIANA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.8N 51.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad and Tobago
* Grenada and its dependencies

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, the northern coast of
Venezuela, and the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of this
system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
8.8 North, longitude 51.6 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track,
the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward
Islands by late Tuesday, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or
near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Conditions appear conducive for development, and the disturbance
will likely become a tropical storm before reaching the southern
Windward Islands or while moving westward across the southern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) to
the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce
heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern
coast of Venezuela starting Tuesday night into Wednesday. The
following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:

Islands from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 3 inches.

St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 3 to 4 inches.

Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and northeastern Venezuela: 4 to 6
inches.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
by late Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

[DMan7]

Looks like T&T will be in the ocean by Thursday.

[S_2NR]

Looks like T&T will be in the ocean by Thursday.

[K74T]

[Gladiator]

FB_IMG_1656383054820.jpg

The amount of cuss Farris probably get in the past 3 hours... He had to back track.

He seems to be an imbicile regardless of where they put him.

[bluefete]

Dey get enough licks for the night.

Rowley was calling the shots from LA.

[bluefete]

FB_IMG_1656383054820.jpg

The amount of cuss Farris probably get in the past 3 hours... He had to back track.

He seems to be an imbicile regardless of where they put him.

You and I on the same wavelength. But I feel Rowley initially told him to keep schools open.

[SuperiorMan]

Lights real flickering in some houses in my neighbourhood in south already yes lol.

[bluefete]

Lights real flickering in some houses in my neighbourhood in south already yes lol.

Stay safe.

[SuperiorMan]

Lights real flickering in some houses in my neighbourhood in south already yes lol.

Stay safe.

Thanks. I doubt it has to do with the storm though? Not sure. Just weird.

[DMan7]

Lights real flickering in some houses in my neighbourhood in south already yes lol.

You laughing? Well is best you laugh than cry in the face of danger yes.

[sMASH]

Talking bout school...

[VexXx Dogg]

Good call, although a little late.
Better to reduce the people on the road tomorrow, esp since weather conditions may ramp up from afternoon into the night.

[shaha87]

818
WTNT32 KNHC 280238
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022022
1100 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022

...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS BY TUESDAY EVENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.7N 52.8W
ABOUT 590 MI...950 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Venezuela has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana, including Islas
de Margarita, Coche, and Cubagua.

The government of the Netherlands has issued a Tropical Storm
Watch for Bonaire.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad and Tobago
* Grenada and its dependencies

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana, including Islas de
Margarita, Coche, and Cubagua
* Bonaire

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, the northern coast of
Venezuela, Curacao, Aruba, and the northeastern coast of Colombia
should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 8.7 North, longitude 52.8 West. The system is moving
toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h). A westward or
west-northwestward motion with some increase in forward speed is
expected through Thursday. On the forecast track, the system will
pass near or over portions of the southern Windward Islands by late
Tuesday or Tuesday night, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea
or near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days if
the disturbance remains over water.

Conditions appear conducive for development if the disturbance
remains over water, and it will likely become a tropical storm
before reaching the southern Windward Islands or while moving
westward across the southern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce
heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern
coast of Venezuela starting Tuesday night into Wednesday. The
following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:

Islands from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 3 inches.

St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 3 to 4 inches.

Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and northeastern Venezuela: 4 to 6
inches.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
in the southern Windward Islands late Tuesday and Tuesday night.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Bonaire
by Wednesday evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

[Mmoney607]

Talking bout school... FB_IMG_1656384400656.jpg

Wow, no one saw that coming. Remember in early 2020 when they closed schools for a one week period.

[carluva]

With the warning in effect, should windows be boarded up and protected and "emergency" measures put in place?

[sMASH]

With the warning in effect, should windows be boarded up and protected and "emergency" measures put in place?

Depends on ur windows, and if u think there is enough loose debris around to be a threat.

[sMASH]

last time a storm was supposed to hit us was Brett in 1994 or so but it passed dead between trinidad and tobago
I think tobago got some minor damage

There was a second Bret in 2017 that hit Trinidad directly. Caused quite a lot of damage to property and infrastructure too.

Was a very frightening experience...

This, it either weakened as it passed over trinidad, only to strengthen after, or it had passed between trini and bago... Mostly affecting tobago.



Remember the big flood in 2017 or so, and they let people go back to work, but most places along the caroni was flooded, so traffic backed up, and blocked rescue efforts.

These dummies don't learn.
But at least the got the school ting right this time.
One less obstruction on the roadways, and emergencies to deal with.

(dummies)

[MaxPower]

Friends,

Please be safe.

Max

[K74T]

[shogun]

any idea on how to stop water coming in from windows? normally not a problem but back in 2017 rain did fall all sides and come in and I was mopping for 2 hours in the middle of the night.

something temporary and cheap

You can try adhesive-back foam strip - a number of hardwares have locally.
Open the window, stick it on to the frame, close the window. It forms a seal - Helps your A/C work better too

81FJLuy2JFL._AC_UL320_.jpg

Didn't even know something like this was available.? Made something similar last year with some foam and adhesive. Nice.